ifs.iss™ (investing strategy simulator) is an approach for evaluation of investment strategies.
There are two basically different approaches in portfolio management. In the so called active approach the portfolio manager tries to buy those securities which will outperform others. Many studies show that the majority of active managers fail to beat their benchmarks. On the other hand the number of passive fund managers who simply mimic an index has increased considerably during the last years. They give up the chance to outperform the market being satisfied not to underperform the market.
Are stock markets really so efficient that there should be no strategy with the prospect of an above-average success selecting the right shares?
The big problem for the active management is the fact that their strategies are not pursued systematically and consequently. The results of the so called Behavioral Finance show that rationality and ability of consistent behavior of individuals are limited. An interesting and possibly fascinating story has a higher impact on our opinions than hard but boring facts: complicated analysis is preferred to simple less spectacular results.
Therefore it is more promising to search for a strategy being simple, economically reasonable, and successful over longer periods. Success or failure in the past is the only source we can learn from. Only the use of computers and databases opens or supports new systematic and promising opportunities.
Developing and testing strategies remains a challenging task with many pitfalls, anyway. The usual spread sheet applications do not fully meet this demand. The module ifs.iss solves this problem and opens the way to successful asset allocation strategies.
Moreover the user takes advantage of the new AI-methods detecting previously unknown dependencies in the market development utilizing these for a successful portfolio management.